IPL Qualifier 1
Mumbai Indians v Delhi Capitals at Dubai (DSC) November 5th 2020
After 6 weeks and 56 group matches the IPL finally moves into the knock stages with the first qualifier. The winner advances directly to next weeks final, while the loser will get a second chance to qualify.
Table toppers Mumbai rightly start as favourites despite an abject performance in their final match. They are 4/6 with Bet 365 having beaten the Capitals in their two group matches and with rested players returning to the XI.
However, Mumbai are too short for me, given the toss bias. With increasing amounts of dew forming in the latter stages of the tournament it has become a real advantage to bat second with 20 out of the final 26 matches won by the side batting second. The toss therefore has a massive bearing on the result meaning Delhi match odds should be shorter.
Back Delhi Capitals at 5/4 with Bet 365
Delhi will have to choose between returning Shimron Hetmyer to the side or keeping faith with Daniel Sams who 4 overs cost 40 runs last time out. Given Ajinkya Rahane’s recent form it is likely they will be unchanged from the win over Bangalore.
Mumbai will return Trent Bolt, Jasprit Bumrah and Hardik Pandya to the side.
Expected Line Ups
Quinton de Kock+, Rohit Sharma*, Suryakumar Yadav, Ishan Kishan, Hardik Pandya, Kieron Pollard, Krunal Pandya, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Trent Boult, Rahul Chahar, Jasprit Bumrah
Prithvi Shaw, Shikhar Dhawan, Ajinkya Rahane, Shreyas Iyer*, Rishabh Pant+, Marcus Stoinis, Axar Patel, Daniels Sams, Ravichandran Ashwin, Kagiso Rabada, Anrich Nortje
The Mumbai Indians side is full of six hitters and they average 8.4 maximums per game compared to Delhi’s 5.3 per match in this year’s competition. The Indians have scored more sixers than their opponents in 11 from 14 matches in IPL 2020. Back the trend to continue.
Back Mumbai Indians Most Sixes at 8/13 with Bet 365
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